USD/JPY: Eyeing Resistance Above 124.00

Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 123.04, 122.13, 121.41
  • Resistance: 124.49, 125.95, 126.85

The US dollar continued to press higher against the Japanese yen, with prices poised to extend above the 124.00 figure. Near-term resistance is at 124.49, the 100% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 123.6% level at 125.95. Alternatively, a turn below the 76.4% Fibat 123.04 clears the way for a test of the 61.8% expansion at 122.13.

While entering long seems tempting from a purely technical perspective, we are leery of committing to long-USD exposure ahead of the upcoming revision of first-quarter GDP figures. The latest round of USD strength doesn’t appear rooted in improving Fed policy bets and may unravel if a downside revision pushes out the projected rate hike timeline. With that in mind, we will remain on the sidelines.


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