Trading The NZ RBNZ Interest Rates Release, April 29, 2015

RBNZ Interest Rates decision today is expected to keep the rates unchanged at the current level of 3.5%. Although there is a slight potential for RBNZ to cut rates, it is probably not going to be this meeting.

5:00pm (NY Time) RBNZ Interest Rates Decision Forecast 3.50% Previous 3.50% DEVIATION: 0.25% (BUY NZD 3.75% / SELL NZD 3.25%)

The Trade Plan Current forecast from economists surveyed by Bloomberg agree that RBNZ is unlikely to change the official rate at this meeting; however, in the event that Governor Wheeler surprises the market either by hike or cut the rates by 0.25%, we should see an immediate strong volatility in the NZD which is a great opportunity to spike trade NZD.

I’d recommend to use the Recommended Pairs from above as they are based on my CSM, which should provide the best combination of currency pairs to trade based on better/worse news… of course, you can also trade the default pair: NZD/USD.

Outlook Score

Outlook score is derived from market sentiment, focus, and economic indicators for the currency. It represents the long-term trend of the currency and its market perception. In short, a strong Outlook Score means more long-term demand for the currency, and a weak Outlook Score is the opposite.

Definition:The OCR (Official Cash Rate or RBNZ Interest Rates) influences the price of borrowing money in New Zealand and provides the Reserve Bank with a means of influencing the level of economic activity and inflation. An OCR is a fairly conventional tool by international standards.

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