GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Aiming Above 1.56 Figure

Talking Points:

  • GBP/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.5464, 1.5311, 1.5170
  • Resistance: 1.5647, 1.5794, 1.5941

The British pound advanced against the US dollar as expected after putting in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 1.5647, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 1.5794. Alternatively, a reversal below the 23.6% Fib at 1.5464 clears the way for a test of trend line resistance-turned-support at 1.5311.

While entering long seems compelling from a purely technical perspective, we will tactically opt against the trade. Our long-term outlook favors pound weakness against the US dollar, as the Fed leads the BOE in normalizing monetary policy. With that in mind, we will treat any on-coming gains as corrective and look for a selling opportunity. In the meantime, we remain flat.


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