Daily FX Outlook: USD/CAD And EUR/CHF For Dec. 28

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3568; (P) 1.3614; (R1) 1.3665;

USD/CAD continues to lose upside momentum in as seen in 4 hour MACD. But intraday bias on the upside with 1.3566 minor support intact. Current rally should target 1.3685 fibonacci level next. Break there will target 1.3793 key medium term resistance. On the downside, below 1.3566 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained above 1.3322 support to bring another rally.


In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. At this point, the structure is not clearly impulsive yet. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping between 1.3685/3793. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.2991) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high).


EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1251; (P) 1.1283; (R1) 1.1323;

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.1224/1348 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.1224 will resume the decline from 1.1501 to 1.1173 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.1348 resistance should confirm near term reversal and target 1.1501 resistance.


In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.


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