Daily Currency Outlook: USD/JPY And AUD/USD : August 08,2018

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.09; (P) 111.28; (R1) 111.58;

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is staying neutral for the moment. The corrective decline from 113.17 could extend lower through 110.58. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 112.14 will target a test on 113.17 high.

USD/JPY 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7386; (P) 0.7413; (R1) 0.7446;

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point as the consolidation from 0.7309 is extending. More sideway trading could be seen. On the downside, break of 0.7309 and sustained trading below 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7158 support next. On the upside, above 0.7483 resistance will bring stronger rebound. But upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring larger fall resumption eventually.

AUD/USD 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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