Daily Currency Outlook: USD/CAD And USD/JPY : October 05,2018

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2876; (P) 1.2907; (R1) 1.2959;

While the rebound from 1.2781 was strong, it’s held well below 1.3081 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish. Another fall is in favor. On the downside, break of 1.2781 will extend whole decline from 1.3385 to next fibonacci level at 1.2567, which is close to 1.2526 support.


In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 key fibonacci level argues that whole choppy rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.3385 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 1.2567, which is close to 1.2526 support and possibly below. For now, we’re not seeing fall from 1.3385 as resuming larger down trend from 1.4689 (2015 high) yet. Thus, we’ll look for bottoming signal again below 1.2567 .


USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.53; (P) 114.04; (R1) 114.45;

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 114.54 temporary top. As long as 113.51 support holds, further rise is still expected. On the upside, decisive break of 114.73 will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance. Nonetheless, break of 113.51 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation first.


In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.


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