Daily Currency Outlook: USD/CAD And EUR/CHF : September 28,2018

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3010; (P) 1.3046; (R1) 1.3077;

USD/CAD formed a temporary after hitting 1.3081 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.2971 minor support holds. For now, 1.2879 key fibonacci level remains intact and thus, larger rise from 1.2061 is expected to resume after consolidation from 1.3385 completes. Break of 1.3081 will target 1.3225 resistance structure resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2971 minor support will turn focus back on 1.2879 fibonacci level.


In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 key fibonacci level. As long as it holds, rise from 2017 low at 1.2061 is still in progress. Break of 1.3384 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2015 high) to 1.2061 (2017 low) at 1.3685. However, sustained break of 1.2879 will dampen his bullish view and turn focus back to 61.8% retracement at 1.2567, which is close to 1.2526 support.


EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1321; (P) 1.1369; (R1) 1.1426;

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1414 but quickly retreated again. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rally is still in favor as long as 1.1221 support holds. Above 1.1414 will target 1.1452 resistance. Decisive break there should confirm near term reversal. That is, whole correction from 1.2004 has completed at 1.1178 after hitting 1.1154/98 key support zone. However, break of 1.1221 will turn focus back to 1.1154/98 key support zone.


In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.


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