Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : March 06,2018

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.71; (P) 146.41; (R1) 147.75;

A temporary low is in place at 144.97 as GBP/JPY recovers. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But still, outlook remains bearish with 150.92 resistance intact. Deeper decline is expected. Break of 144.97 will extend the fall from 156.69 to 143.51 medium term fibonacci level next. We’ll look for bottoming signal there. But firm break will target 139.29 support.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish pergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY 4 Hour Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.89; (P) 130.45; (R1) 131.55;

Strong rebound from 129.34, together with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, suggests short term bottoming there. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45. But overall, decline from 137.49 shouldn’t be finished yet. We’d still expect another fall to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish pergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY 4 Hour Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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