Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/JPY And GBP/JPY : March 20,2018

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.95; (P) 130.51; (R1) 131.41;

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 129.59 extends to as high as 131.70 so far today. A this point, as the cross is staying in range above 129.34, intraday bias stays neutral first. Also, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45 to limit upside and bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, decisive break of 129.34 will confirm resumption of whole fall 137.49 and target 126.61 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 132.45 will target 61.8% retracement at 134.37 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49, on bearish pergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EURJPY 4 Hour Chart

EURJPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.31; (P) 148.49; (R1) 149.94;

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 144.97 extends. Further rise could be seen. But still, it’s seen as a corrective move. Therefore, we’d expect strong resistance from 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 147.03 will bring retest of 144.97 low first. Break will extend the decline from 156.59 to 143.51 medium term fibonacci level next. However, sustained break of 150.92 will pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish pergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.31; (P) 148.49; (R1) 149.94;

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 144.97 extends. Further rise could be seen. But still, it’s seen as a corrective move. Therefore, we’d expect strong resistance from 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 147.03 will bring retest of 144.97 low first. Break will extend the decline from 156.59 to 143.51 medium term fibonacci level next. However, sustained break of 150.92 will pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish pergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

GBPJPY 4 Hour Chart

GBPJPY Daily Chart

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