Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/JPY And GBP/JPY : August 13,2018

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.70; (P) 128.36; (R1) 127.82;

EUR/JPY’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 125.13 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 124.61 low. Break will resume howl down trend from 137.49. On the upside, above 126.80 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited below 128.49 resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 124.08 key resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 109.03 and below. Meanwhile, rebound from 124.08 will keep medium term bullishness intact for another high above 137.49.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.87; (P) 141.78; (R1) 142.57;

GBP/JPY drops to as low as 140.23 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline should target 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around there. Nonetheless, , break of 143.48 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

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