Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/AUD And EUR/GBP : April 06,2018

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5885; (P) 1.5937; (R1) 1.5977;

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral at this point. With 1.5857 support intact, another rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.6084 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.6189 first. Break will resume the whole rally from 1.5153 and target 1.6587 key resistance. Nonetheless, break of 1.5857 will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn bias to the downside for 1.5621 support to confirm.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. And it’s still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, on bearish pergence condition in daily MACD. But for now, break of 1.5621 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stays bullish even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8720; (P) 0.8734; (R1) 0.8754;

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. 0.8666/86 is seen as an important support zone that EUR/GBP has just drawn support from. Further rise is mildly in favor. Break of 0.8796 will resume the rebound from 0.8666 and target 61.8% retracement of 0.8967 to 0.8666 at 0.8852 and above. However, decisive break of 0.8666 will resume whole fall from 0.9305 and target 0.8312 key support.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

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