Daily Currency Outlook: AUD/USD And EUR/CHF : September 10,2018

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7068; (P) 0.7136; (R1) 0.7175;

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 161.8% projection of 0.7452 to 0.7201 from 0.7361 at 0.6955. Break will target key support level at 0.6826. On the upside, break of 0.7210 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.


In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Fall from there would extend to have a test on 0.6826. There is prospect of resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Current downside momentum as seen in daily and weekly MACD support this bearish case. Firm break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7361 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.


EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1174; (P) 1.1209; (R1) 1.1236;

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. We’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1319 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1452 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.


In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1196) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.


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